Thursday, March 24, 2011

Portugal debt crisis: David Cameron holds crisis talks with EU leaders

 

 

Mr Cameron travelled to Brussels for the two-day economic summit, declaring: "My agenda is to get Europe working."

Portuguese sovereign bond yields soared to new highs in the wake of the country's parliamentary rejection of its latest austerity package. Jose Socrates, prime minister, was forced out on Wednesday night after failing to win support for the measures.

Fears for the eurozone rose as Fitch downgraded the country's credit rating from AA to AA-, while Moody's cut the credit ratings of 30 Spanish banks.

In Britain, Mark Hoban down played Britain's exposure to the crisis. He told Parliament that the UK will "play no part in a proposed permanent European bail-out fund because it is not in the eurozone". He added that bilateral trade with Portugal was just £4bn in 2010.

Kevin Dunning, economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said: "The resignation of the Portuguese Prime Minister adds a political crisis to a fiscal crisis, and brings a bailout a step closer."

RBS analysts said an emergency bailout was likely to trigger a fall in Portugal's credit rating and its bond yields to converge to Irish levels.

The European summit was arranged to agree various policies in the event of a future crisis over the euro, including a bailout mechanisms. However, officials warned that the volatile events in Portugal would hamper any firm resolutions.

 

Bank of England must raise interest rates before its too late, warns chief economist Spencer Dale

 

 

who voted for higher interest rates this month and last – broadly defended the BoE's past policy decisions in a speech to asset managers, but said it was now time to tighten what he described as "extraordinarily loose" monetary policy.

Unlike some of his colleagues on the nine-strong Monetary Policy Committee, Mr Dale said he was wary about the apparent stability of public medium- and long-term inflation expectations in surveys.

"I'm cautious about how much comfort we can take from the relative stability in these measures," he said.

"Although some economists may like to think otherwise, most companies and households have far better things to do than spend time formulating detailed expectations of the rate of inflation likely to prevail in five or 10 years time."

He said the bank's credibility could dissipate slowly over time, posing a major upside risk to the BoE's current forecasts of inflation falling back to target.

Specifically, the risk was that the public would think the BoE was prepared to tolerate very lengthy periods of above target inflation, rather than take rapid action to bring prices back to target, Mr Dale said.

"This risk is almost impossible to monitor ... but it could have profound implications for the inflation outlook and the performance of our economy," he said in the speech in London.

The other major risk to CPI seen by Dale was from global price pressures, due either to commodity price rises or overheating in emerging economies.

Mr Dale was in a minority of three on the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee earlier this month in voting for an increase in interest rates, as he had been in February.

Policymakers had to balance the risk of a weak recovery in the British economy versus the dangers of above forecast inflation, he said.

In his view, economic growth that was likely to be around average this year, combined with inflation more than double its 2pc target and loose monetary policy were sufficient reasons to raise rates, he added.

Mr Dale also said that he would not necessarily have made exactly the same past decisions on interest rates if he had known how inflation would develop, but would probably not have tightened policy significantly more.

Reporting by Reuters

 

Sign Language: week 144

Sign Language: week 144

Sign Language: week 144

Another selection of strange signs sent in by readers on their travels.

10 reasons to travel in April

 

10 reasons to travel in April

10 reasons to travel in April

The end of April is looking busy. Easter falls on the 24th, the second latest day possible, and the Royal wedding happens in London on the 29th. Whether you want to be back in the country to enjoy the celebrations, or take advantage of all the public holidays to go travelling, there are lots of attractive options. Here are 10 of the best.

All prices are per person based on two sharing a room unless stated otherwise. They are subject to availability and may change without notice.

 

Istanbul – for the shopping festival

You never really need an excuse to visit Istanbul – it’s a fascinating city at any time of year, though it’s a good idea to avoid steaming hot July and August. Go this month and you can enjoy more pleasant temperatures and the first Istanbul Shopping Fest (until April 26).

The city has always been a trading centre of the first rank and claims to have the original shopping mall: the 550-year-old Grand Bazaar.

 

The Fallas Festival in Valencia, Spain

 

The Fallas Festival in Valencia, Spain

Large paper mache figures are burned during the Fallas festival in Valencia, Spain, in the early hours of Sunday March 20, 2011
 
 

Every year the city of Valencia celebrates the ancient Las Fallas festival.

 

Harry Houdini: Google Doodle celebrates 137th birthday of escapologist

 

The Hungarian-born American magician and illusionist found fame with his
sensational escape acts.

He was born Ehrich Weisz, the son of a rabbi, in 1874.

Houdini died suddenly at the age of 52 from peritonitis. However, his
descendants have questioned the official cause of death and announced in
2007 plans to exhume his remains amidst claims that he was poisoned.

His most famous act was the Chinese Water Torture Cell in which he was
suspended upside down in a locked glass and steel cabinet filled with water.
It required him to hold his breath for more than three minutes.

Despite his achievements Houdini is reported to have told his doctor on his
deathbed that he envied him: "The difference between me and you,'' he said
"is that you actually do things for people. I, in almost every respect, am a
fake.''

Despite his profession as an illusionist Houdini had a long-held personal
crusade to prove that spiritualism was fake, or “bad magic”.

MySpace surrenders to Facebook in battle of social networks

Talking to The Telegraph at the Monaco Media Forum, Jones said the bold
statement: “MySpace is a not a social network anymore. It is now a social
entertainment destination.”

The troubled site, which saw its UK audience halve to 3.3 million monthly
visitors in July earlier this year, is pinning its hopes of renewed success
with a return to its music and content roots.

Two weeks ago, the redesigned MySpace, which focuses a lot more around
content, rather than social networking, launched in the US and will go live
in the UK in mid November. Everything has been changed; right down to the
logo – which is now the word 'My' and an extended underscore to represent
the ‘Space’.

MySpace, founded in 2003, at its peak had more than 100 million registered and
active members, but its audience has been declining since the rise of Facebook
in 2008.

It has come under increasing pressure from its parent News Corporation, which
bought the site in 2005 for $580 million (£351 million) in 2005, to reverse
its ailing fortunes.

On an earnings call at the start of this month, Chase Carey, News
Corporation’s chief operating officer, said: "We've been clear
that MySpace is a problem. The current losses are not acceptable or
sustainable." And that he wanted "a clear path to profitability"
on a timetable measured "in quarters, not in years”.

MySpace lost $156 million in the quarter that ended in September 2010 compared
to a loss of $126 million in the same period last year, on revenues of $298
million, down 25.5%.

Jones said that Carey’s words were taken out of context, and that all of News
Corp’s businesses are assessed quarterly.

“There is no timeline to shutdown MySpace. The goal of relaunching the site is
to a build a new path and use the tools of social around entertainment
content which will appeal to audiences aged between 13-35 around the world,”
Jones explained.

However, when asked what UK-specific content deals had been signed in
preparation for the roll out of the newly designed site on this side of the
pond, in a couple of weeks, Jones was evasive. “In order for our content
strategy to work, we will need localized content strategies, but these have
not been initiated yet.” MySpace shut down all of its European offices last
year, and made the London-based office its head quarters outside of the US.
Critics have said that MySpace is too US-centric, in its provision of
content and delivery.

He also admitted that MySpace Music, the site’s free streaming service, which
has failed to make a huge impact in the UK, with many people preferring to
stream music using sites such as Spotify, could be improved. “I think we can
be better at the way people consume music on MySpace. And over the coming
months, we will be rolling out new features to improve this.

“MySpace still plays an integral role in the showcasing of music talent and
every band still has a page.”

Jones would not be drawn on rumours that MySpace will soon implement a
Facebook Connect button across its service, allowing people to use their
Facebook identities on MySpace –which would effectively mean promoting what
was once their biggest rival across the site.

He also said that he was focusing his energies on retaining the majority of
the current 130 million-strong global registered membership as opposed to
attracting new audiences. “We have to get the product, which is still in
beta, fully right before we go out and hunt new users,” he said.

Jones said new users would be of a younger demographic who want to “meet new
and old friends around great content”. The focus of the ‘new MySpace’ in the
UK during the launch period of the redesign will be solely on music
discovery, with other content focus areas, such as TV and film, to come
later. However, the US MySpace revamp launched with movie, TV and celebrity
content ‘hubs’ already in place. Jones is hoping higher quality content,
will yield good advertising returns.

The revamped site aims to make itself the UK’s “leading social music
destination for 13 to 35 year olds”. It will promote influential MySpace
users and content curators across the site.

New products include a recommendations feature – which promotes ‘tastemakers’
on every page to help users find new content suited to their tastes; a
discovery tab – which is present on every page and shows what content a
user’s friends are watching or what is trending across the site, and a new
trending feature called ‘Right now on MySpace’ – which informs the
recommendation feature.

The redesigned MySpace homepage showcases popular music content as it ‘bubbles
up’ across the site in real-time. Additionally, once a user logs into
MySpace, the homepage will instantly populate with content based on the
individual’s interests.

Jones said he was enjoying the challenge of trying to turn around one of the
fastest growing websites in the world and had not been distracted by the
walkout of two chiefs executives in the last 10 months. First Owen Van Natta
stunned staff with his departure after a mere nine months at the helm of the
company in February, and then Jason Hirschorn, one of Van Natta’s
replacements, followed suit four months later.

When asked what MySpace would like in 2015, Jones said: “It sounds like a
mobile product.” He denied that MySpace was up for sale.